The Impact of Iowa Running Back Kaleb Johnson Opting Out of the Music City Bowl

Iowa Hawkeyes running back Kaleb Johnson (2) runs to the endzone to score a touchdown as DUPLICATE***Nebraska Cornhuskers linebacker Mikai Gbayor (42) trails Friday, Nov. 29, 2024 at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa.
Iowa Hawkeyes running back Kaleb Johnson (2) runs to the endzone to score a touchdown as DUPLICATE***Nebraska Cornhuskers linebacker Mikai Gbayor (42) trails Friday, Nov. 29, 2024 at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa. | Julia Hansen/Iowa City Press-Citizen / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Replacing a running back like Kaleb Johnson, who accounted for 61% of Iowa’s touchdowns, 43% of their total yardage, and 43% of their total touches this season, is no small task. That’s the challenge the Hawkeyes face on Monday following Johnson’s decision to opt out against the Missouri Tigers.

Johnson was originally expected to split carries heading into the season, but when Leshon Williams suffered an injury before Iowa’s opener, Johnson seized the opportunity. He finished the season with 1,537 rushing yards and 21 rushing touchdowns, setting a program record for most rushing touchdowns in a single season.

After an outstanding junior season, Johnson announced on social media that he would opt out of the Music City Bowl to focus on preparing for the NFL Draft, aiming to capitalize on his rising draft stock.

In Johnson’s absence, Iowa will likely turn to freshman running back Kamari Moulton, who has carried the ball 70 times for 377 yards this season. This game will provide Iowa an opportunity to evaluate a potential key contributor at running back for the future.

Moulton brings more speed than Johnson but is a less physical runner, which could pose challenges in short-yardage situations against Mizzou's defensive front. In those scenarios, expect Jaz Patterson to step in as a power back, providing Iowa with a more physical presence on Monday.

Johnson's absence will significantly hinder the Hawkeyes' ability to move the ball effectively with their running backs, forcing them to adjust their offensive strategy.

Iowa quarterback Brendan Sullivan is a sneaky dual-threat, and his involvement in the rushing attack will be something to watch closely. Without Johnson, Sullivan’s mobility could play a key role in keeping Mizzou’s defense off balance.

On Monday, the Hawkeyes' offense will have a completely different look, though how they plan to move the ball remains uncertain. The matchup is shaping up to be a grudge match between Mizzou's defensive front and Iowa's offensive line, with much of the game likely to be decided in the trenches.